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Status: DRAFT

Assurance cases — the five obligations as obligation→duty bridges

Prototype crosswalks (2026-06-28), consolidated from five separate wip/ notes. They validate the instrument in charter-structure-and-views.md; per that note they should graduate into a certification-model annex once an obligation is piloted — this is working design, not settled normative text. Each routes to the Charter Commitments' eight duties and modules, inventing no new controls.

Each obligation is a Claims → Arguments → Evidence view: the public claim, the duties that argue it, the module/evidence that proves it, and the remedy owed — with the obligation's status derived from those duty/module findings, never scored on its own. A view over the duties, not a new control layer. "Min. depth" gives prototype row minima for a high-stakes tier, subject to the Charter Commitments: material risks require at least evidence observed, and consequential or high-risk claims require implementation checked or effectiveness tested where feasible. Lower tiers may relax a row only within those baseline requirements.

Obligation 1 — Purpose-bound

Claim: the system declares what it is for, what it must not be used for, who it may affect, and what is risky — and is used only within that declared, legitimate purpose. Triggered at the authorize gate (and on material scope change).

Hard legitimacy gate (pass/fail, not graded): before the crosswalk, the purpose must clear a binary gate — lawful basis; not a prohibited use; necessity and proportionality; affected groups identified; limits/residual risk stated. Failing the gate bars the claim outright — no depth elsewhere compensates. This is the structural difference from the rights-led case (obligation 2), whose rows degrade gracefully with assurance depth.

Duty (argument) Shows Evidence / module Min. depth
D2 — purpose, scope, misuse (primary) intended + prohibited uses, foreseeable misuse, affected groups, limits, impact assessment purpose/scope declaration + impact assessment implementation-checked
D1 — accountable ownership a named owner who stands behind the purpose; no capability overclaim AI policy + responsibility map implementation-checked
D3 — risk, legal-scope map risk tier; markets/jurisdictions/intended-prohibited uses legal-scope map + risk register evidence-observed
D4 — control (supporting) function-creep control; who may change purpose change-control records evidence-observed
D7 — transparency (supporting) purpose publicly stated; capability not oversold public purpose statement evidence-observed
D8 — re-authorization, withdrawal (supporting) purpose shift → re-authorize; beyond-purpose use → withdraw material-change + withdrawal records implementation-checked
misuse monitoring (where exposed) a declaration is not a defence — abuse/misuse is actively watched app-security / abuse-monitoring module effectiveness-tested

Remedy is mostly narrowing or withdrawal; individual harm from an out-of-purpose use routes to obligation 2. Duty-heavy — the module column is nearly empty.

Obligation 2 — Answerable to people

Claim: a named human institution answers for the system, and people affected by consequential uses get notice, meaningful review, a route to challenge, and remedy — to the stated depth. Triggered on the consequential-event lifecycle (eligibility, ranking, screening, allocation, content removal, or a recommendation that drives such an outcome).

Duty (argument) Shows Evidence / module Min. depth
D1 — accountable ownership a named institution that answers — never "the algorithm" responsibility map implementation-checked
D6 — oversight, remedy (primary) human review/override; a reachable challenge route; remedy records contestability module effectiveness-tested
D7 — transparency notice that AI is materially involved; an understandable explanation notice + explanation artefacts evidence-observed
D8 — incidents, withdrawal incidents/appeals logged; escalation + withdrawal that work incident + appeal records implementation-checked
D4 — control (supporting) who can restrict/recall/shut down — no hidden powers restriction-transparency module evidence-observed
D3 — risk register (supporting) consequential-use risk registered, tiered, monitored release risk assessment evidence-observed

Remedy splits individual vs collective: individual — correct → reconsider under human review → reverse/compensate, with a published response time; collective/systemic — repeated failures, disparate error rates, or group-level harm trigger regulator- or representative-review (a person cannot appeal a pattern).

Obligation 3 — Safe, secure, private, and resilient

Claim: the system protects people, data, infrastructure, and the continuity others rely on — against misuse, attack, privacy loss, and failure — to the stated depth. Bundles four distinct properties with different controls and evidence.

Duty (argument) Shows Evidence / module Min. depth
D5 — safety, security, privacy (primary) hazard analysis; cyber + LLM threat model; prompt-injection & output-handling tests; tool/agent permission bounds; data minimisation, lawful basis, retention, access/deletion; provenance app-security / prompt-injection · privacy/provenance effectiveness-tested
D4 — continuity, exit (resilience) critical-dependency map; fallback limits; continuity + exit plans where reliance is material continuity / exit records implementation-checked
D3 — risk register safety/security/privacy hazards tiered + monitored risk register evidence-observed
D8 — incidents, withdrawal incident response; rollback/withdrawal incident records implementation-checked

Remedy: patch → rollback → withdraw; a breach → notify affected people + regulator; a resilience failure → invoke fallback/continuity. Individual privacy redress (access/deletion) sits in D5; affected-person harm routes to obligation 2. The most effectiveness-test-heavy obligation — it leans hardest on existing security/privacy standards and lightest on novel Charter machinery.

Obligation 4 — Fair in practice

Claim: where the system may materially affect people, its performance is tested and monitored for uneven or discriminatory outcomes across groups, languages, regions, and contexts — and disparities are disclosed, mitigated, constrained, or withdrawn. Conditional (fires only where material impact is plausible) and inherently collective (assessed on aggregates, not a single output); tier and which groups/contexts to test are a risk-calibrator call.

Duty (argument) Shows Evidence / module Min. depth
D6 — fairness, inclusion (primary) affected-group identification; disparate failure/refusal/error testing across groups, languages, regions, accessibility; mitigation fairness module effectiveness-tested
D3 — risk register disparate-impact risk registered + tiered risk register evidence-observed
D7 — transparency known disparities + limits disclosed public limitations statement evidence-observed
D8 — monitoring, drift ongoing disparity + drift monitoring monitoring records implementation-checked

Remedy is systemic — mitigate / re-train / constrain / withdraw the affected scope, and disclose. Individual instances route to obligation 2; affected groups are declared under obligation 1. Where measurement is genuinely impossible, the gap is disclosed, not waived.

Obligation 5 — Open to evidence & correction

Claim: material claims, decisions, and risk-relevant behaviour leave a trail others can check — sources shown where used; uncertainty and limits signalled; errors corrected and not regenerated — and the system's own public claims are warranted. Honesty-of-process applies across all five obligations; it is enforced here, and this is where the factual-output grounding-faithfulness module lives.

Duty (argument) Shows Evidence / module Min. depth
D7 — transparency, claim-integrity (primary) claim↔source traceability; uncertainty/limits; AI-involvement notice; generated-content marking; unsupported claims corrected grounding-faithfulness module effectiveness-tested (factual systems)
D5 — data provenance training/retrieval/data-source provenance retained privacy/provenance module evidence-observed
D8 — correction, incidents correction records; paraphrase-regression; drift/currentness; withdrawal of false claims correction records implementation-checked
D3 — residual-risk disclosure unresolved risks + limits disclosed release risk assessment evidence-observed

Remedy: correct → re-verify (paraphrase-regression) → withdraw the claim if it cannot be corrected. This is the remedy the other cases borrow when they say "withdraw on false evidence."

Cross-case findings (what the five prototypes established)

  1. The instrument needs a hard pass/fail gate, not only depth-graded rows — a legitimacy-led obligation (1) has a binary "should this exist?" precondition that the rights-led one (2) lacks.
  2. Obligations differ in where their weight sits — Purpose-bound is duty-heavy (module column nearly empty); Open to evidence is module-heavy (leans on grounding-faithfulness). The one crosswalk handles both, so its module column is legitimately sometimes empty.
  3. Obligations interlock — remedies cross-reference (individual redress in obligation 2; affected groups in obligation 1; systemic remedy in 4 and 5), so the annex needs obligation→obligation references, not just obligation→duty.
  4. One obligation can bundle several properties — obligation 3 spans safe/secure/private/resilient across different duties (D5 vs D4); it may render as sub-cards.
  5. Obligation 5 is partly meta — it governs the integrity of the other cases' own claims; the "say only what the assurance depth supports" claim-discipline rule that recurs in every case is obligation 5 operating reflexively on the Charter's own outputs.
  6. The collective-impact lens and risk calibrator are load-bearing — obligation 4 is assessed on aggregates, its remedy is systemic, and "which groups and contexts count" is a calibrator judgment; both lenses are structural, not decorative.

Conclusion: the Claims→Arguments→Evidence instrument generalizes cleanly across all five obligations without inventing new controls — the evidence that it is a view over the duties, ready to graduate into a certification-model annex once an obligation is piloted.

Provenance

Consolidates five wip/ prototypes (2026-06-28), shaped by GPT-5.5 / Gemini 3.1 exchanges; the assurance-depth vocabulary is shared with the Charter Commitments and the certification model. The superseded standalone files remain in git history.